ATCA - July 12, 2007

We are grateful to Dr Malmgren from Washington, DC for "The Fear of Central Bankers -- Flight from Illiquidity and Heightened Risk of Contagion."
Dear ATCA Colleagues
[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]
Flight from Illiquidity and Heightened Risk of Contagion
We are grateful to:
. Dr Harald Malmgren from Washington, DC for "The Fear of Central Bankers -- Flight from Illiquidity and Heightened Risk of Contagion."
in response to, "Are the Currency Markets Warning that there is Trouble Ahead? The Precipitous Decline of the US Dollar and its Impact on the World."
Dr Harald Malmgren is an internationally recognised expert on world trade and investment flows who has worked for four US Presidents. His extensive personal global network among governments, central banks, financial institutions, and corporations provides a highly informed basis for his assessments of global markets. At Yale University, he was a Scholar of the House and Research Assistant to Nobel Laureate Thomas Schelling, graduating BA summa cum laude in 1957. At Oxford University, he studied under Nobel Laureate Sir John Hicks, and wrote several widely referenced scholarly articles while earning a DPhil in Economics in 1961. His theoretical works on information theory and business organization have continued to be cited by academics over the last 45 years. After Oxford, he began his academic career in the Galen Stone Chair in Mathematical Economics at Cornell University.
Dr Malmgren commenced his career in government service under President John F Kennedy, working with the Pentagon in revamping the Defense Department's military and procurement strategies. When President Lyndon B Johnson took office, Dr Malmgren was asked to join the newly organised office of the US Trade Representative in the President's staff, where he had broad negotiating responsibility as the first Assistant US Trade Representative. He left government service in 1969, to direct research at the Overseas Development Council, and to act as trade adviser to the US Senate Finance Committee. At that time, he authored International Economic Peacekeeping, which many trade experts believe provided the blueprint for global trade liberalisation in the Tokyo Round of the 1970s and the Uruguay Round of the 1980s. In 1971-72 he also served as principal adviser to the OECD Wise Men's Group on opening world markets, under the chairmanship of Jean Rey, and he served as a senior adviser to President Richard M Nixon on foreign economic policies. President Nixon then appointed him to be the principal Deputy US Trade Representative, with the rank of Ambassador. In this role he served Presidents Nixon and Ford as the American government's chief trade negotiator in dealing with all nations. While in USTR, he became known in Congress as the father of "fast track" trade negotiating authority, which he first introduced into the historically innovative Trade Act of 1974. He was the first official of any government to call for global negotiations on liberalisation of financial services, and he was the first US official to call for the establishment of an Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation arrangement, known in more recent years as APEC.
In 1975 Dr Malmgren left government service, and was appointed Woodrow Wilson Fellow at the Smithsonian Institution. From the late 1970s he managed an international consulting business, providing advice to many corporations, banks, investment banks, and asset management institutions, as well as to Finance Ministers and Prime Ministers of many governments on financial markets, trade, and currencies. He has also been an adviser to subsequent US Presidents, as well as to a number of prominent American politicians of both parties. Over the years, he has continued writing many publications both in economic theory and in public policy and markets. He is Chief Executive of Malmgren Global and also currently the Chairman of the Cordell Hull Institute in Washington, a private, not-for-profit "think tank" which he co-founded with Lawrence Eagleburger, former Secretary of State. He writes:
Dear DK and Colleagues
Re: The Fear of Central Bankers -- Flight from Illiquidity and Heightened Risk of Contagion
It is true when ATCA states that "We are at one of those moments in financial markets when the reality may not have changed much but perceptions have clearly shifted. The shift is about risk, the willingness to accept it and the premium to charge for it." At this moment financial traders and many market analysts are focused on the deterioration of the US subprime mortgage market because that is what fills daily business headlines.
Best wishes
Harald Malmgren
[ENDS]
We look forward to your further thoughts, observations and views. Thank you.
Best wishes
For and on behalf of DK Matai
Chairman, Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance (ATCA)
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ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001 to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from over 100 countries: including several from the House of Lords, House of Commons, EU Parliament, US Congress & Senate, G10's Senior Government officials and over 1,500 CEOs from financial institutions, scientific corporates and voluntary organisations as well as over 750 Professors from academic centres of excellence worldwide.
The views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. Please do not forward or use the material circulated without permission and full attribution.
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Intelligence Unit | The Philanthropia, ATCA, mi2g.net
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Posted by ATCA at July 12, 2007 02:11 PM
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(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)Dr Malmgren has done a good job of articulating
Dr Malmgren has done a good job of articulating the situation, a messed up global accounting system. One that is hard to grasp, and I would venture to say there is no one on the planet that can fully grasp it all due to the size, and complexity, simply because they cannot access all the data being produced creating the “unknowing”.
In order to have a holistic view all the data must be available for input for processing and collective analysis that way controls can be applied namely the choice of investors which can be a naturally controlling factor rather than a government body. Of course the Universal Information system could address many of these issues and is the reason we should begin to implement it. It's data structure, and the supporting architecture is different from our current information systems. It is not the most obvious or easiest approach and method. But the payoff is that in the end it works.
I think we could say we have a lake on a dark moonless night, and when the sun comes up we are going to see that there are several black swans on it.
It has become very complex, which benefits those that can keep up with it and it reduces the number of people that can play the game. One might wonder if anyone really knows what is going on.
All that being said we probably need to engineer a new global energy and tangible asset exchange system. One that we manage to engineer out, ego and greed with an emphasis on autonomous systems with safe guards and transparency.
I think many people are becoming more intelligent and many of the established fictions are not going to be around long.
The bottom line here is a bunch of people generating wealth simply from gaming like a c*a*s*i*n*o. Not really making an economic contribution to the system. Of course I could argue that they could be providing a benefit. But they can only sufficiently provide it and in some ways do if it is completely transparent and a collective summary is available.
We have another group charging way too much rent on the monetary system infrastructure, and too large a fee for the creation and management of each dollar.
The hard reality is that much of the wealth on the planet is just a perceptual wealth. A dollar bill only has value because people perceive it to. As soon as the information is produced that changes that perception the dollar has no value.
Or we could say that the entire system behind that dollar
Well in conjunction with the dissemination of the information that destroys
There is one great truth though.
All the people that needed food, shelter, technology, energy and transportation today will need it tomorrow no matter what happens. So there is no such thing as an economic collapse. The needs of yesterday are not erased tomorrow. Only the accounting system malfunctions. Sometimes the ability to manipulate it not in the interest of the all.
In fact I bet the next big thing will be the group that invents some new accounting system that all the people on the planet buy into.
If this system collapses it simply means a new one will rise in it's place, maybe quite similar in design, without the imperfections of ego design.
I am fascinated that everything works as well as it does though, considering.