DK Matai - October 09, 2008
Dear Friends, here is a consolidated digest of the key "Opportunities and Threats" as you have kindly presented to the ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) and the mi2g Intelligence Unit from across the globe -- over 120 countries -- in regard to The Global Financial Crisis:
Opportunities
. Humanity is moving with hiccups towards greater humility, acting in concert and collective thinking. Nation states are recognising their inter-dependence within the global community of sovereign nations.
. Small is beautiful. The way out of economic difficulty is through the creativity and the ingenuity of small to medium size businesses as they have the ability to create employment and reinvent processes in all kinds of economic conditions.
. The global economy will no longer be driven by two or three trading blocs, as other smaller trans-national and regional engines are gaining significance.
. Watch out for solid deposit based financial institutions with excellent capital adequacy ratios and corporations with extremely low gearing, exemplary geographical diversification and healthy profits. These entities are potentially big winners from the crisis.
. For those entities and individuals who bear the difficulties and remain sanguine, asset acquisition suddenly looks affordable and tending towards value-for-money over time.
. Inflation has been a cause of concern, however it will come down in the near future.
. Savings: Even as the global financial mayhem will lead to a slowdown in investment flows, domestic savings will have to rise in lock step to take care of strategic investments. The mi2g Intelligence Unit forecast is that looking at the demographics over the next decade, all countries will have to move towards higher saving rates to remain competitive and to stop the continuous erosion of lifestyle quality.
. The use of advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI -- is going to increase in industry and business to reduce costs and light weight yet strong man-made materials will replace natural raw materials significantly causing commodity prices to decline further and energy efficiency to increase considerably. The innovators and purveyors of these technologies will benefit from the present global crisis in the years ahead.
. Clean energy, sustainable technologies, microfinance, water and eco-friendly infrastructure will settle as key sectors for the coming "Golden Age" and remain growth areas -- post the inevitable correction -- as the world addresses climate chaos, radical poverty and energy efficiency challenges.
. The world will tend towards multi-polarisation as the key shapers of the 21st century economic architecture are thrown into sharp relief. East Asia is the real place of dynamism and growth action now. Both China and India will continue to remain major engines albeit with lower than double digit growth. Japan's power and influence may also increase.
. Japan, China and India have a unique opportunity to consolidate themselves in leadership positions in the global political and economic "Power Architecture". The American, European and Russian crises may be Japan, China and India's chance to improve their global significance even further given their relative strength and competitive advantage.
. Japan, China and India should be able to weather the storm through domestic capital formation, resilience and rising strategic overseas investment plays. The combination of high saving rates and highly functional capital markets should propel the countries forward albeit with much lower growth.
. Boardrooms from Tokyo to London and Beijing to New York are enthused about India Inc, especially in regard to infrastructure projects. India's economy is based on strong fundamentals like a globally competitive services and manufacturing sector backed by domestic demand driven growth generated by 800 million people with spending power.
. The road ahead for countries including the Middle East is to go further down the path of globalisation. These events should not be used to justify not engaging with the world. It is in the interest of each sovereign nation and the world's collective interest that all continue with their global engagement and coming together.
. The ongoing financial crisis is a clear indicator that the global parking lot for both long-term and short-term capital is going to modify, the US and US dollar are going to remain key but they are not going to be the only preferred destination and currency. There is a great opportunity for Japan and the Japanese Yen. China and India may also remain preferred destinations for capital at the expense of other emerging nations.
. We are moving towards a free and fair world trading system albeit with hiccups. A multilateral rule-based system established by the World Trade Organisation is, therefore, as much in the interest of emerging countries as in the interest of established countries. It is important to get rid of non-tariff barriers which make it difficult for a country's market to be penetrated even when tariffs are zero.
Threats
. Ignorance, hubris and arrogance in the corporate, individual and government spheres. Leadership based on "I" and not "We" -- me-first and me-last as opposed to our mutual interest and joint well being!
. Inflation has increased input costs, which has trickled down to higher prices in stores. However, in the medium to long term the threat of deflation across all asset classes is much larger because of massive and unprecedented demand destruction.
. Businesses and consumers are being hit by a double whammy: a decreasing cash flow and a dip in the value of assets on the balance sheet. This may continue to sap confidence.
. One cannot have the world's major economies slowing down and their impact not being felt worldwide. However, it is not a zero-sum game.
. Recovery from the global financial crisis is going to be a highly turbulent long and slow process. Exchange rates are more volatile. Commercial and residential real estate values may continue to fall for some time.
. In order to emerge from the current crisis -- the worst to have hit the banking and insurance industry in the past 70 years -- the balance sheets of financial institutions have to be repaired step by step. Financial institutions are leveraged between 25 to 35 times. A long slow, painful process of de-leveraging needs to take place. The troubles of the financial services sector have dried up the available money supply. Government assistance and partial nationalisation may or may not do the trick.
. The possibility of surprise asymmetric threats -- black swans -- emerging in the key ATCA areas is rising. Those areas are climate chaos and the environment; radical poverty; geo-politics and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as well as transhumanism and ethics.
. Watch out for a potential destabilisation in China from within as a result of significant economic slow down and regional differences as well as grass roots disenchantment. The lack of access to quality new and information from across the globe in an open way is likely to increase misunderstandings.
. Watch out for the vulnerability of the Euro currency as the fragile financial union of European nation states demonstrates disjointed and haphazard actions to resolve the financial crisis on a case-by-case and knee jerk basis. There are likely to be multiple clashes between Euro-zone nation states and the European Central Bank as the going gets tough. This may make the Euro currency vulnerable.
. Watch out for the potential destabilisation of nuclear-armed Pakistan because of the desperation of the Taliban and the ongoing NATO war in Afghanistan. The Iran nuclear stand off and the Middle East situation in regard to Israel also have the combined potential to create their own global flash points without much notice.
. Russia may use the present global financial crisis to meet long term geo-political objectives such as the swift action seen in regard to Iceland.
Expert Feedback
Thank you for all the expert feedback you have provided to the ATCA Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) and the mi2g Intelligence Unit from across the globe in regard to how the global financial crisis is affecting you and the organisations you chair or actively manage since July 2007. We have amassed a huge database of information intelligence on what is going on in over 120 countries worldwide as a result of the longest running Socratic dialogue on ATCA, which started almost two years ago. Thank you for your commitment and excellence of contributions. We are immensely grateful. Whilst we may not be able to publish all of the feedback we receive, or we may be requested not to publish in many instances, we do still add the feedback received to the central database of expert knowledge held within ATCA.
It is particularly heartening to note that optimism prevails and you feel that there are fantastic asymmetric opportunities by way of silver linings amongst the dark clouds of rising asymmetric threats and unintended consequences from The Great Unwind, which has manifest in the real economy as The Global Financial Crisis. We would love to continue hearing from you as a distinguished ATCA or The Philanthropia friend or member.
If we have missed your thoughts, observations and views in this initial draft, feel free to write back and we will seek to incorporate your thinking in future drafts under Chatham House rule, ie, your thoughts will be mentioned without mentioning source given the sensitivity on these critical issues for governments, regulators, central banks, financial institutions and large businesses amongst the high profile distinguished ATCA members.
Open Invitation
You are invited. We are planning a small select roundtable on 15th October 2008 at 6:00pm in the City of London to discuss the Global Financial Crisis: Opportunities and Threats. If you would like to join us or get a summary of the proceedings under Chatham House rule, please write back. We will consider doing a repeat event towards the end of October if we are unable to fulfil your request to participate on the first occasion.
[ENDS]
We welcome your thoughts, observations and views. Thank you.
With love and warm wishes to you and family
DK with family
DK's online community participation includes:
Open ATCA, IntentBlog, Holistic Quantum Relativity Group, LinkedIn, Facebook, Ecademy, Xing, Spock, A&B Blog and QDOS. [Profile in pdf]
A new Holistic Quantum Relativity Group is being set up here.

Holistic (H) E8 Vector Visualisation in String Theory (Q+R) like the 1,000 Petal Sahasrara Lotus in Spirituality
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Posted by DK Matai at October 9, 2008 04:23 AM
Ignorance, hubris and arrogance in the corporate, individual and government spheres. Leadership based on "I" and not "We" -- me-first and me-last as opposed to our mutual interest and joint well being! ~Above
I am counting on this. It is true this ego impediment is the reason for the current imbalance, inefficiency, and inability to adapt and evolve to meet the speed of change. Those that are in contrast to this will have a huge competitive advantage over those encumbered. It is what will allow the new consciousness industry to quickly overcome the old and leave it in the dust, which of course creates an incentive for the hosts of old consciousness to transition to the new.
Interesting is that this creates a new market and demand for the “workshops” perhaps the Advanced Being Workshops that will teach the wisdom and spark the enlightenment allowing organizations to overcome ego and separatist impediments.
Click my name for the Advanced Being Workshop, just a web site and an idea at this point, for CEO’s management and heads of State.
Some other new consciousness material on Collaboration.me ■Click My Name■ covers and will facilitate:
Consumers, Producers, Economy, Government, Tools, Evolution, Revolution and Efforts.
Consumers.me ■Click My Name■
Covers:
Collective consumer power changes the balance of power, individual consumers no longer need to be powerless when dealing with the old consciousness corporate entity.
As for government regulation in the new economics collective consumer control replaces most government regulation as we knew it, and is in fact a true form of government regulation where government is the actualized collective intent and will of the people.
Business does not create jobs, the consumer does
Consumer Owned Equitable Balanced Value Exchange System
Consumers Universal Information System
Consumers Power
An evolution in commerce and economy
Consumers energy combined to empower
Consumers Energy Purchasing Contracts
Consumers Purchasing Union
Consumers steps and processes and functions
Consumer Groups and Sectors
Consumer Vendor Registration
Consumer Collective Intent
Consumer action items
Consumer awareness
Consumers Purchasing Agents
Consumers Collective Registration
Organization of Economic system participants
Consumer Producer Relations
Consumer Contract Services
Revolutions.me ■Click My Name■ covers Revolutions in progress.
Revolutions (R)evolution (Our)Evolution
Welcome to the Global Revolution
Revolutions in Progress
The impetus for evolution is the need to adapt to change, and the desire to improve our experience.
It is all about evolution, each new stage of evolution brought on by a revolution the time has come for the global One.
The failure to evolve in response to change creates a growing impetus to evolve that cannot be long ignored until the choice is to evolve or perish.
GLOBAL TRANSFORMATION
Work In Progress
• A Memetic Engineering Project (power of the word)
• Restructuring Belief Systems - (Reality Engineering)
• The Current System of Things > The New System of Things (Fall of the empire that Ego built)
• The End of Disease (Prevention, Regression, Biochemical Enhancement)
• New Energy System (New energy device using free form energy)
• New Health System (Human service stations for complex biochemical diagnostics analysis, supplementation)
• New Communication Infrastructure (consumer owned mesh network)
• New Sustainable Building and Community Infrastructure
• New Information Media (subscriber based intelligence gathering agents)
• New Economic System (Tangible asset smart currency based monetary systems)
• New Government System (Direct Vote, True Self Government )
• New Transportation Systems (3D travel, no roads required)
• New Education (intelligence transfer methodologies and certification)
• The New Physics (death of the particle, the bridge between the tangible and intangible discovered)
The dissolution of current fiction based planetary belief systems
Eradication of ignorance through the distribution of intelligence
Transfer of power from the few to the many, collective control replaces control by independent individuals subject to individual vulnerabilities and weaknesses.
Mass distribution of intelligence and memes via the Internet and the decentralized control of information have made a major transformation possible.
Then there is the Global Value Exchange Accounting System on CoinAge.me ■Click My Name■
Collectively Controlled Natural Autonomous Economic Systems
An integrated blend of the tangible and intangible "Tangic Currency"
-Free market collective control
-Economic system participant owned and managed
-Integrity and Balance
-Low Volatility
-Real Time "Responding to the speed of change"
-Based on the New Universal Information System Architecture (Liquid Data)
Financial Matrix Guidance Systems
Strategic Operatives
-Extreme intelligence
-Execution and Deployment
-Countermeasures
-Monitor
-Predict
-Report
-Alert
-Continuous Evaluation
-Analysis
-Revision
-Dynamic Parameter Adjustment
-Real time low latency information retrieval and update
-Full transparency with certified, credentialed anonymity.
New economic principle and commerce law now in effect: "Value Extraction from the economic system by any entity must equal a genuine value contribution to the system by said entity as determined by economic system participants"
"All consumers will have a producer channel for contribution or will be trained for one using the new consciouness education systems."
Global Value Exchange Accounting System
Various new elements of the system
-Extraction = Contribution
-Collective Value Assessment
-Collective Quality Control with specialist detail assessment
-Quality Certification and product source, material list and assembly tracking
-Third party certification and validation interface
-Real Time Demand Assessment
-Real Time Supply Assessment
-Supply and Demand Forcasting
-Supply Chain Source (Producer)
-Supply Chain Consumer
-Revenue Pipe Summary
-Credit Pipe Summary
-Consumer Self Regulated
-Producer consumer relationship management
-Central Directory Authority with distributed field level authority
-Intangible asset measurement and evaluation (human resources, intellectual)
-Commodity asset measurement
-Infrastructure asset measurement
-Energy asset management
Then there is InformationSystem.me ■Click My Name■ regarding the Universal Information System
■About
The universal information system is an endeavor to restore and maintain the balance of human civilization and it's economy, to promote collaboration, integration, efficiency and to speed evolution and adaptation.
It is designed to create the needed transparency while maintaining privacy, autonomy, and anonymity with credentials.
A tangible manifestation of the collective mind with individual sovereignty.
Decentralization of control maintains the balance of power.
■Concept
Most information systems were designed from the perspective and needs of s single entity or organization, the separatist nature of the design thwarts integration to create a whole and integrated system, which deprives economic participants of information technology efficiency, and fails to leverage economies of scale. The universal information system is designed from a holistic perspective viewing all smaller systems as part of a single whole.
The Universal information system enhances the liquidity of data to that it can flow instantly wherever it is needed, while controls (valves) keep it from flowing to where it is not supposed to go. It is designed to encapsulate current systems until modifications can be made.
Decentralized, Autonomous, Extensible, and Liquid
■Elements of the Web Service Framework
The universal system framework consists of various functional elements that are integral to the system as a whole.
cred.me - Social Networking Credibility and Credentials "Street Cred"
credentials.me - Look up an entities credentials (sum intellectual capital, certification)
credential.me - Credential authorities
namespace.me - Namespace central directory for public namespace and attributes
namespaces.me - Shared user defined namespace directory
infosystem.me - Web services and web service directory
coinage.me - Value exchange system
money.units.me - Unit exchange and conversion
consumers.me - Consumer Collective Control and validation and contracts
transactions.me - Transaction central
GUID.me - Globally unique identifiers for objects etc.
UUID.me - Universal Unique identifier for entities
guid.keymaker.me - Produces keys for objects and transactions
uuid.keymaker.me - Produces keys for entities and namespaces
IDTAG.me - Privacy Shield Tags and Tagging
MYDB.me - My Database collective individual data repository
Collaboration.me - collaborating on the system and economy
Discussing.me - Discussing the system
Commando.me - Economic and System directives
Socratic.me - Moderated Socratic Dialog and decision making
SemanticSearch.me - Semantic information search and GUID and UUID lookup
Contact regarding all the above without the spaces of course.
i n f o @ i n t e l e g e n .com
Perhaps something to talk about at that meeting.
Would love to attend but I don't think that will work out with the short notice. Unless it happens like in that Da vinci Code movie...
That should be "Energy asset measurement" above.
Presenting all this with the intent to implement can restore consumer confidence.
The problem has been that a great number of market participants, from a risk perspective, became a moral hazard. And I'm not just talking about those purchasing mortgages.
Average participant lost their otherwise normal aversion to risk, thus becoming, themselves, a risk to the greater good.
A well-regulated market becomes fully commoditized, and therefore capital flows because everyone can clearly assess risk and make sane decisions, sometimes right, sometimes wrong. And everyone pays for their mistakes. Auto insurance is an example of this...pure price.
On the other hand, we have experienced a form of "market psychosis" where information wasn't shared and everybody was cooking up his or her own idea of what was going on. Even our leadership exhibited this illness.
In my opinion, bailouts will only increase this desensitization to risk. If you want a free market going up, you ought to be willing to ride the free market on its way down.
Failure is the only way that humans learn.
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The problem has been that a great number of mar
That should be "Energy asset measurement" above
Contact regarding all the above without the spa
Then there is InformationSystem.me ■Click My
Then there is the Global Value Exchange Account
Dear DK,
Most excellent collection of insight and perspective, thank you for compiling.
I would like to announce the coming of the Gold Swan. To a few or those that do not anticipate it may appear to be a black swan because it is seen in the dark of night. But look at seen within the light, it is of Brilliant Golden Hue.
The Gold Swan is the New Consciousness Economic and Participatory Self Government Systems and collective control with protection for individual sovereignty.
These new systems and their holistic architecture have never been possible before due to the lack of technology, foundational design and communications to support them. Some components are forming naturally of their own accord while other components are being architected as you read this.
This swan lays golden eggs. If you click my name and join the hunt you might just find one of the Golden Eggs.
Still in Beta but having impactful content to be understood and those looking to get a head start advantage.